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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 19, 2026?

Politics
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97 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▲ +8.5%1W
Yes 97¢No 3¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$958.184

24h vol.

$181.38

1w vol.

$403.009

1m vol.

$958.184

Liquidity

$724.995

Bid / Ask

95¢ / 99¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

99¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 13 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,121 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% one day before resolution, 98.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
84¢$160
83¢$61
82¢$32
80¢$300
5¢$12
4¢$15
3¢$7
2¢$93
1¢$423
Asks (sell)Size
85¢$209
86¢$41
87¢$21
90¢$57
91¢$161
92¢$20
93¢$6
94¢$68
95¢$300
96¢$6

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (27)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell9¢61
3 wk. agoBuy9¢61
3 wk. agoSell12¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢20
3 wk. agoBuy91¢1
3 wk. agoBuy9¢1
3 wk. agoSell9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy88¢181
3 wk. agoBuy11¢61
3 wk. agoBuy12¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢20
3 wk. agoSell88¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢20
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢87
3 wk. agoBuy84¢5
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoBuy89¢41
3 wk. agoBuy89¢21
3 wk. agoBuy13¢55
3 wk. agoBuy84¢15
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoSell11¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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