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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?

Politics
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96 %

chance

▼ −44.0%1h▲ +0.1%24h▲ +7.0%1W
Yes 96¢No 4¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$4.6K

24h vol.

$314.94

1w vol.

$3.7K

1m vol.

$4.6K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Bid / Ask

95¢ / 98¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

95¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 25, 2026

ends in 6 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 78¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$13
3¢$50
2¢$267
1¢$422
Asks (sell)Size
82¢$10
83¢$40
88¢$28
95¢$14
96¢$20
98¢$257
99¢$414

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (21)

Buys 80%Sells 20%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell80¢10
3 wk. agoBuy80¢10
3 wk. agoSell80¢10
3 wk. agoBuy80¢10
3 wk. agoSell82¢50
3 wk. agoBuy82¢10
3 wk. agoBuy82¢20
3 wk. agoBuy82¢20
3 wk. agoBuy19¢20
3 wk. agoBuy81¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢120
3 wk. agoBuy84¢20
3 wk. agoBuy88¢30
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoBuy89¢50
3 wk. agoSell91¢20
3 wk. agoBuy91¢20
3 wk. agoSell8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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