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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?

Politics
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96 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▲ +5.6%24h▲ +10.5%1W
Yes 96¢No 4¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$580.531

24h vol.

$101

1w vol.

$144.182

1m vol.

$580.531

Liquidity

$402.84

Bid / Ask

94¢ / 97¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

91¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 85¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$9
3¢$50
2¢$254
1¢$415
Asks (sell)Size
89¢$11
90¢$263
92¢$20
95¢$13
96¢$16
98¢$12
99¢$416

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (22)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy96¢11
3 wk. agoBuy4¢11
3 wk. agoSell84¢20
3 wk. agoBuy84¢20
3 wk. agoBuy84¢0
3 wk. agoSell84¢9
3 wk. agoBuy84¢9
3 wk. agoSell84¢11
3 wk. agoBuy84¢11
3 wk. agoBuy14¢11
3 wk. agoBuy86¢11
3 wk. agoBuy14¢71
3 wk. agoBuy86¢11
3 wk. agoBuy86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢9
3 wk. agoBuy86¢9
3 wk. agoSell90¢20
3 wk. agoSell10¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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