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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?

Politics
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98 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.4%24h▲ +10.2%1W
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$6.7K

24h vol.

$900.88

1w vol.

$6K

1m vol.

$6.7K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Bid / Ask

96¢ / 99¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

97¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 27, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
89¢$120
88¢$74
86¢$60
84¢$320
57¢$60
4¢$7
3¢$30
2¢$94
1¢$428
Asks (sell)Size
91¢$212
92¢$20
94¢$96
95¢$400
96¢$6
97¢$69
98¢$407
99¢$422

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (31)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy10¢21
3 wk. agoBuy90¢1
3 wk. agoSell10¢20
3 wk. agoSell9¢50
3 wk. agoBuy9¢50
3 wk. agoSell9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy87¢364
3 wk. agoBuy12¢54
3 wk. agoBuy13¢60
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy13¢50
3 wk. agoBuy14¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢20
3 wk. agoSell86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢80
3 wk. agoSell86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy90¢20
3 wk. agoSell90¢20
3 wk. agoBuy15¢20
3 wk. agoBuy85¢20
3 wk. agoBuy11¢140
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoBuy89¢20
3 wk. agoBuy89¢40
3 wk. agoBuy90¢20
3 wk. agoBuy90¢20
3 wk. agoSell10¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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