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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026?

Politics
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95 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −2.5%24h▲ +2.9%1W
Yes 95¢No 5¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$759.697

24h vol.

$60

1w vol.

$307.455

1m vol.

$759.697

Liquidity

$441.245

Bid / Ask

93¢ / 98¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

96¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 30, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 79¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$14
3¢$50
2¢$266
1¢$425
Asks (sell)Size
83¢$20
84¢$20
89¢$145
90¢$243
95¢$12
96¢$20
98¢$15
99¢$417

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (11)

Buys 83%Sells 17%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy16¢20
3 wk. agoBuy84¢20
3 wk. agoBuy12¢40
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoBuy88¢20
3 wk. agoSell91¢20
3 wk. agoBuy91¢20
3 wk. agoSell8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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