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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?

Politics
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93 %

chance

▼ −43.0%1h▲ +3.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 93¢No 7¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$2.7K

24h vol.

$359.948

1w vol.

$1K

1m vol.

$2.7K

Liquidity

$941.077

Bid / Ask

92¢ / 93¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

93¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
80¢$340
79¢$274
77¢$200
76¢$20
5¢$16
4¢$40
2¢$99
1¢$416
Asks (sell)Size
81¢$40
82¢$70
93¢$6
94¢$79
95¢$36
96¢$161
97¢$11
98¢$93
99¢$426

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (38)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell19¢8
3 wk. agoSell81¢8
3 wk. agoSell19¢18
3 wk. agoSell81¢18
3 wk. agoSell91¢19
3 wk. agoSell9¢19
3 wk. agoSell19¢8
3 wk. agoBuy19¢8
3 wk. agoSell82¢195
3 wk. agoBuy82¢155
3 wk. agoBuy83¢20
3 wk. agoSell17¢20
3 wk. agoSell8¢20
3 wk. agoBuy8¢19
3 wk. agoBuy8¢1
3 wk. agoBuy79¢356
3 wk. agoBuy20¢20
3 wk. agoBuy20¢20
3 wk. agoBuy20¢20
3 wk. agoBuy20¢100
3 wk. agoBuy21¢75
3 wk. agoBuy21¢20
3 wk. agoBuy21¢20
3 wk. agoBuy21¢20
3 wk. agoSell79¢20
3 wk. agoBuy21¢20
3 wk. agoBuy21¢21
3 wk. agoBuy92¢19
3 wk. agoBuy8¢19
3 wk. agoBuy84¢6
3 wk. agoBuy16¢6
3 wk. agoBuy16¢40
3 wk. agoBuy84¢20
3 wk. agoBuy84¢20
3 wk. agoSell90¢20
3 wk. agoSell10¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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