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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 20, 2026?

Politics

97 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +7.1%1W

Yes 97¢No 3¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$737.518

24h vol.

$62.632

1w vol.

$392.019

1m vol.

$737.518

Liquidity

$909.93

Bid / Ask

95¢ / 98¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

99¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 21, 2026

ends in 1 day

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,121 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% one day before resolution, 98.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢

Bids (buy)Size

84¢$20

83¢$24

80¢$300

5¢$12

4¢$15

2¢$108

1¢$415

Asks (sell)Size

86¢$60

88¢$21

91¢$222

92¢$20

94¢$9

95¢$68

96¢$300

97¢$75

98¢$397

99¢$430

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (9)

Buys 86%Sells 14%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Sell	88¢	20
3 wk. ago	Sell	12¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	11¢	9
3 wk. ago	Buy	89¢	9
3 wk. ago	Buy	11¢	91
3 wk. ago	Buy	89¢	71
3 wk. ago	Buy	89¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	50¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	50¢	20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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