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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?
97 %
chance
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
13 outcomesTotal volume
$2.8K
24h vol.
$46.15
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Bid / Ask
96¢ / 98¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
96¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 84¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (9)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 60 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
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