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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026?

Politics
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96 %

chance

▲ +4.6%24h▲ +5.6%1W
Yes 96¢No 4¢

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

13 outcomes

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$718.59

1w vol.

$733.59

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$258.603

Bid / Ask

94¢ / 98¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

97¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 24, 2026

ends in 5 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
89¢$40
88¢$20
87¢$20
86¢$20
85¢$20
84¢$20
80¢$300
56¢$20
5¢$13
4¢$16
Asks (sell)Size
90¢$21
91¢$222
92¢$40
94¢$73
95¢$300
96¢$6
97¢$65
98¢$402
99¢$472

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (20)

Buys 88%Sells 12%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell14¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢20
3 wk. agoSell9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy9¢20
3 wk. agoBuy86¢310
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy13¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢30
3 wk. agoBuy14¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢60
3 wk. agoBuy14¢20
3 wk. agoBuy14¢100
3 wk. agoSell86¢20
3 wk. agoSell86¢20
3 wk. agoBuy10¢60
3 wk. agoBuy90¢20
3 wk. agoBuy90¢20
3 wk. agoSell10¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

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