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Updated 2 hr. ago
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics
43 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.3%1W
Yes 43¢No 57¢
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
42 outcomes- J.D. Vance43 %
- Marco Rubio27 %
- Ron DeSantis3 %
- Donald Trump2 %
- Tucker Carlson2 %
- Donald Trump Jr.1 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy1 %
- Ted Cruz1 %
- Glenn Youngkin1 %
- Ivanka Trump1 %
- Rand Paul1 %
- Greg Abbott1 %
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1 %
- Elon Musk1 %
- Byron Donalds1 %
- Thomas Massie1 %
- Tulsi Gabbard1 %
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders1 %
- Brian Kemp1 %
- Elise Stefanik1 %
- Marjorie Taylor Greene1 %
- Erika Kirk1 %
- Katie Britt0 %
- Eric Trump0 %
- Joe Kent0 %
- Steve Bannon0 %
- Nikki Haley0 %
- Tom Brady0 %
- Pete Hegseth0 %
- Mike Johnson0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Josh Hawley0 %
- Mike Pence0 %
- Rick Scott0 %
- Kristi Noem0 %
- Matt Gaetz0 %
- John Thune0 %
- Candace Owens0 %
- Tom Cotton0 %
- Tim Scott0 %
- John N. Kennedy0 %
- Doug Burgum0 %
Total volume
$14.7M
24h vol.
$9.4K
1w vol.
$158.1K
1m vol.
$635.6K
Liquidity
$379.2K
Bid / Ask
43¢ / 43¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
43¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 7, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
43¢$27,537
43¢$45,050
43¢$1,210
43¢$6,900
43¢$2,094
42¢$1,000
42¢$331
42¢$478
42¢$10,153
42¢$797
Asks (sell)Size
43¢$23,730
43¢$250
43¢$2,145
44¢$300
44¢$100
44¢$320
44¢$3,000
44¢$8,865
44¢$14,671
44¢$540
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 51%Sells 49%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 113 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 59 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 54 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 2 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 18 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 18 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 4 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 4 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 12 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 12 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 63 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 63 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 7 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 7 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 2 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 2 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 5 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 8,927 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 1,556 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 4,000 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 1,000 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 497 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 1,860 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 10 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 10 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 10 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 10 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 57¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 43¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 57¢ | 3 |
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