Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 day ago

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.2%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

43 outcomes
See all 43 outcomes

Total volume

$18M

24h vol.

$25.2K

1w vol.

$80.1K

1m vol.

$91.6K

Liquidity

$766.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$26,426
0¢$108,227
0¢$120,883
0¢$442,533
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$19,622
1¢$10,305
1¢$44,459
1¢$339,094
1¢$230,061
1¢$4,000
2¢$7,250
2¢$2,074
15¢$1,111
26¢$25

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 25%Sells 75%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell99¢1
1 day agoSell1¢1
1 day agoSell0¢4,900
1 day agoBuy0¢4,504
1 day agoBuy1¢103
1 day agoBuy1¢293
1 day agoSell99¢4,900
1 day agoSell1¢4,900
1 day agoSell99¢0
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoSell99¢1
1 day agoSell1¢1
1 day agoBuy100¢1
1 day agoBuy1¢1
1 day agoSell99¢0
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoSell99¢1
1 day agoSell1¢1
1 day agoSell99¢0
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoBuy100¢1
1 day agoBuy1¢1
1 day agoSell99¢1
1 day agoSell1¢1
1 day agoSell99¢0
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoBuy100¢1
1 day agoBuy1¢1
1 day agoSell99¢0
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoSell99¢2
1 day agoSell1¢2
1 day agoBuy100¢2
1 day agoBuy1¢2
1 day agoSell99¢1
1 day agoSell1¢1
1 day agoBuy100¢2
1 day agoBuy1¢2
2 days agoSell99¢2
2 days agoSell1¢2
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoBuy0¢2
2 days agoSell99¢1
2 days agoSell1¢1
2 days agoSell99¢3
2 days agoSell1¢3
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoBuy0¢2
2 days agoBuy100¢2
2 days agoBuy0¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.