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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
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14 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.7%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 14¢No 86¢

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

43 outcomes
See all 43 outcomes

Total volume

$10.8M

24h vol.

$13.8K

1w vol.

$45.2K

1m vol.

$169.7K

Liquidity

$310.6K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 14¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$155
18¢$5
18¢$5
18¢$5
18¢$155
18¢$123
18¢$70
17¢$83
17¢$601
17¢$175
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$678
19¢$245
19¢$698
19¢$6,391
19¢$1,724
19¢$1,999
19¢$1,754
19¢$1,500
19¢$384
19¢$3,776

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy18¢42
1 mo. agoSell18¢42
1 mo. agoSell82¢50
1 mo. agoSell18¢50
1 mo. agoBuy83¢35
1 mo. agoSell83¢35
1 mo. agoSell18¢34
1 mo. agoBuy18¢34
1 mo. agoSell18¢1,203
1 mo. agoBuy18¢99
1 mo. agoBuy18¢190
1 mo. agoSell82¢170
1 mo. agoBuy18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢5
1 mo. agoBuy18¢5
1 mo. agoBuy18¢200
1 mo. agoBuy19¢315
1 mo. agoSell82¢180
1 mo. agoBuy83¢12
1 mo. agoSell83¢12
1 mo. agoBuy82¢99
1 mo. agoBuy18¢34
1 mo. agoBuy18¢64
1 mo. agoBuy82¢95
1 mo. agoBuy19¢38
1 mo. agoBuy19¢57
1 mo. agoSell19¢11
1 mo. agoBuy19¢11
1 mo. agoBuy19¢12
1 mo. agoBuy82¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢7
1 mo. agoSell18¢4
1 mo. agoSell82¢4
1 mo. agoSell82¢83
1 mo. agoSell19¢83
1 mo. agoBuy82¢10
1 mo. agoSell82¢10
1 mo. agoSell82¢33
1 mo. agoBuy82¢33
1 mo. agoBuy82¢12
1 mo. agoSell82¢6
1 mo. agoBuy19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢1
1 mo. agoSell19¢4
1 mo. agoBuy19¢4
1 mo. agoSell81¢0
1 mo. agoBuy81¢0
1 mo. agoBuy19¢12
1 mo. agoBuy81¢12
1 mo. agoBuy81¢0

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.