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Updated 4 days ago

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

43 outcomes
See all 43 outcomes

Total volume

$19.8M

24h vol.

$283.546

1w vol.

$44.2K

1m vol.

$303.5K

Liquidity

$775.3K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$507
2¢$281
2¢$9,994
2¢$10,000
2¢$804
2¢$99,312
2¢$52,531
2¢$100,614
2¢$75,309
1¢$1,707
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$1,600
3¢$8,180
3¢$2,044
3¢$13,997
3¢$33,501
3¢$150
3¢$15,000
4¢$41,991
4¢$5,000
4¢$42,350

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 43%Sells 57%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy3¢827
4 days agoBuy98¢827
4 days agoSell98¢0
4 days agoBuy98¢0
4 days agoSell98¢1
4 days agoBuy98¢1
4 days agoBuy98¢1
4 days agoBuy2¢1
4 days agoSell98¢12
4 days agoBuy98¢12
4 days agoSell98¢12
4 days agoBuy98¢12
4 days agoSell98¢12
4 days agoBuy98¢12
4 days agoSell98¢12
4 days agoBuy98¢12
4 days agoSell98¢12
4 days agoBuy98¢12
4 days agoSell98¢4,005
4 days agoBuy98¢24
4 days agoSell2¢486
4 days agoSell2¢22
4 days agoBuy98¢148
4 days agoBuy98¢155
4 days agoSell2¢3,106
4 days agoBuy98¢60
4 days agoBuy98¢4
4 days agoSell98¢1
4 days agoBuy98¢1
4 days agoBuy98¢80
4 days agoBuy2¢80
4 days agoBuy98¢2
4 days agoBuy2¢2
4 days agoBuy98¢65
4 days agoBuy2¢65
4 days agoSell2¢4,655
4 days agoBuy2¢3,746
4 days agoBuy2¢499
4 days agoBuy2¢410
4 days agoSell98¢4,655
4 days agoSell2¢4,394
4 days agoBuy98¢261
4 days agoBuy98¢810
4 days agoBuy2¢810
4 days agoSell98¢3,531
4 days agoBuy98¢3,239
4 days agoSell2¢292
4 days agoBuy98¢3,531
4 days agoBuy2¢3,531
4 days agoSell98¢1

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