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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$881.3K

24h vol.

$1K

1w vol.

$2K

1m vol.

$14K

Liquidity

$1.1M

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$278,768
0¢$640,038
0¢$10,318
0¢$14,686
1¢$10,000
1¢$10,050
1¢$10,000
1¢$10,000
1¢$50,000
1¢$20,020

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6,682
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,576
2 mo. agoSell0¢4,106
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢3,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,894
2 mo. agoSell0¢106
2 mo. agoSell100¢10
2 mo. agoSell0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢595
2 mo. agoSell0¢534
2 mo. agoSell0¢290
2 mo. agoSell0¢8,581
2 mo. agoSell100¢84
2 mo. agoSell0¢84
2 mo. agoSell0¢290
2 mo. agoBuy0¢290
2 mo. agoSell0¢705
2 mo. agoBuy0¢705
2 mo. agoSell100¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢1,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢1,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢534
2 mo. agoBuy0¢466
2 mo. agoSell0¢10,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢695
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9,305
2 mo. agoSell100¢7
2 mo. agoSell0¢7
2 mo. agoSell100¢10
2 mo. agoSell0¢10
2 mo. agoSell100¢29
2 mo. agoSell0¢29
2 mo. agoBuy100¢17
2 mo. agoBuy0¢17
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,523
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2,523
2 mo. agoBuy0¢188,155
2 mo. agoSell0¢126,033
2 mo. agoSell0¢61
2 mo. agoSell0¢16,460
2 mo. agoSell0¢35,862
2 mo. agoSell0¢25
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,000

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