Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$6.2M

24h vol.

$839.13

1w vol.

$24.5K

1m vol.

$130.4K

Liquidity

$354.6K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$16,767
1¢$27,601
1¢$48,538
1¢$44,492
0¢$776,530
0¢$7,667
0¢$20,485
0¢$248,562
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$5,707
1¢$3,949
1¢$66
1¢$281
2¢$34
2¢$1,000
2¢$1,404
2¢$10,033
2¢$33
2¢$1,455

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoBuy99¢1
1 wk. agoBuy1¢1
1 wk. agoSell99¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoBuy99¢6
1 wk. agoBuy1¢6
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoBuy99¢1
1 wk. agoBuy1¢1
1 wk. agoSell99¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢0
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoSell99¢459
1 wk. agoSell1¢459
1 wk. agoBuy99¢1
1 wk. agoBuy1¢1
1 wk. agoBuy99¢459
1 wk. agoBuy1¢459
1 wk. agoSell99¢310
1 wk. agoSell1¢310
1 wk. agoBuy99¢310
1 wk. agoBuy1¢310
1 wk. agoSell99¢351
1 wk. agoSell1¢351
1 wk. agoBuy99¢351
1 wk. agoBuy1¢351
1 wk. agoSell99¢345
1 wk. agoSell1¢345
1 wk. agoBuy99¢345
1 wk. agoBuy1¢345
1 wk. agoSell99¢409
1 wk. agoSell1¢409

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.