Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 5 days ago

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$8.8M

24h vol.

$122.214

1w vol.

$67.7K

1m vol.

$253.8K

Liquidity

$612.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$18
1¢$23,432
1¢$3,689
1¢$686
1¢$4,189
0¢$39,140
0¢$40,800
0¢$510,485
0¢$323,224
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$3,712
1¢$6,100
1¢$20,471
2¢$10,300
2¢$68,277
2¢$83
2¢$9,000
3¢$15,000
3¢$45,000
3¢$80,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy99¢6
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoSell99¢67
5 days agoBuy99¢67
5 days agoBuy1¢6,000
5 days agoBuy99¢3,021
5 days agoSell1¢2,979
5 days agoSell99¢8
5 days agoSell1¢8
5 days agoBuy99¢8
5 days agoBuy1¢8
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoSell1¢6
5 days agoSell99¢5
5 days agoSell1¢5
5 days agoBuy99¢5
5 days agoBuy1¢5
5 days agoSell1¢2
5 days agoSell99¢2
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoBuy99¢6
5 days agoBuy99¢6
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoBuy99¢8
5 days agoSell99¢8
5 days agoBuy99¢8
5 days agoBuy1¢1
5 days agoSell99¢7
5 days agoBuy99¢7
5 days agoBuy1¢7
5 days agoBuy99¢14
5 days agoBuy1¢5
5 days agoSell99¢9
5 days agoBuy99¢9
5 days agoBuy1¢9
6 days agoSell99¢6
6 days agoBuy99¢6
6 days agoSell1¢20,676
6 days agoBuy1¢9,531
6 days agoSell99¢15
6 days agoBuy1¢5,100
6 days agoBuy1¢3,000
6 days agoSell99¢5
6 days agoSell99¢7
6 days agoSell99¢7
6 days agoSell99¢9
6 days agoSell99¢10
6 days agoSell99¢10
6 days agoSell99¢15
6 days agoSell99¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.