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Updated 4 days ago

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

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6 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

26 outcomes

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$40

1w vol.

$345

1m vol.

$345

Liquidity

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 7¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$120
4¢$29
3¢$773
2¢$92
1¢$29
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$22
9¢$186
10¢$40
11¢$1,150
14¢$1,000
15¢$20
16¢$80
20¢$20
21¢$20
35¢$8

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell8¢20
4 days agoBuy7¢6
4 days agoBuy8¢14
4 days agoSell92¢14
4 days agoSell8¢14
4 days agoBuy7¢6
4 days agoSell7¢6
4 days agoSell7¢11
4 days agoBuy7¢11
4 days agoSell92¢23
4 days agoSell8¢23
4 days agoSell94¢14
4 days agoSell6¢14
4 days agoBuy94¢20
4 days agoBuy6¢20
4 days agoSell5¢80
4 days agoBuy4¢5
4 days agoBuy4¢10
4 days agoBuy5¢20
4 days agoBuy5¢20
4 days agoBuy5¢5
4 days agoBuy6¢20
4 days agoSell92¢17
4 days agoSell8¢17
4 days agoSell7¢20
4 days agoBuy7¢20
4 days agoBuy89¢101
4 days agoBuy9¢20
4 days agoBuy10¢1
4 days agoBuy11¢60
4 days agoBuy11¢20
4 days agoSell10¢20
4 days agoBuy10¢20
4 days agoBuy84¢627
4 days agoBuy14¢20
4 days agoBuy15¢20
4 days agoBuy15¢20
4 days agoBuy15¢20
4 days agoBuy15¢20
4 days agoBuy15¢327
4 days agoBuy16¢20
4 days agoBuy17¢20
4 days agoSell83¢20
4 days agoBuy17¢20
4 days agoBuy17¢20
4 days agoBuy17¢100
4 days agoBuy17¢20
4 days agoBuy82¢9
4 days agoBuy83¢11
4 days agoBuy17¢9

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