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Updated 5 days ago

Will Shailene Woodley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Other

1 %

chance

▼ −10.0%1h▼ −0.4%24h

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$423.327

24h vol.

$10

1w vol.

$63.327

1m vol.

$63.327

Liquidity

$149.253

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 2¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢

Bids (buy)Size

3¢$8

2¢$45

1¢$54

Asks (sell)Size

6¢$20

7¢$80

8¢$20

13¢$20

90¢$21

97¢$21

98¢$46

99¢$26

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (25)

Buys 94%Sells 6%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
5 days ago	Sell	5¢	27
5 days ago	Buy	5¢	6
5 days ago	Buy	5¢	21
5 days ago	Buy	6¢	27
5 days ago	Sell	6¢	7
5 days ago	Sell	6¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	89¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	11¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	87¢	250
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	80
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	50
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	60
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	87¢	50
5 days ago	Buy	12¢	10
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	87¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	13¢	20
5 days ago	Buy	84¢	10
5 days ago	Buy	16¢	10
5 days ago	Buy	84¢	10
5 days ago	Buy	16¢	10

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.