Skip to content

← Dashboard · Culture

Updated 4 days ago

Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Other
Log in for watchlist

7 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

26 outcomes

Total volume

$1.6K

24h vol.

$140

1w vol.

$1.6K

1m vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$538.055

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 9¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$125
3¢$21
3¢$7
3¢$765
1¢$26
1¢$31
1¢$16
1¢$450
1¢$1,507
1¢$7,624
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$30
7¢$151
8¢$59
9¢$408
9¢$1,150
9¢$20
12¢$20
34¢$8
95¢$11
95¢$60

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (46)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy7¢20
4 days agoSell7¢20
4 days agoBuy7¢20
4 days agoBuy93¢20
4 days agoSell96¢20
4 days agoBuy96¢20
4 days agoBuy3¢81
4 days agoBuy97¢20
4 days agoBuy97¢21
4 days agoBuy97¢20
4 days agoBuy97¢20
4 days agoBuy4¢20
4 days agoBuy96¢4
4 days agoSell4¢16
4 days agoSell3¢20
4 days agoSell97¢20
4 days agoSell3¢120
4 days agoSell97¢100
4 days agoBuy3¢20
4 days agoSell3¢20
4 days agoBuy3¢20
4 days agoBuy92¢909
4 days agoBuy7¢80
4 days agoBuy8¢20
4 days agoBuy8¢150
4 days agoBuy8¢59
4 days agoBuy8¢5
4 days agoBuy8¢74
4 days agoBuy8¢20
4 days agoBuy9¢220
4 days agoBuy9¢20
4 days agoBuy9¢60
4 days agoBuy9¢60
4 days agoBuy9¢20
4 days agoBuy9¢50
4 days agoBuy9¢51
4 days agoBuy9¢20
4 days agoBuy97¢20
4 days agoBuy3¢4
4 days agoBuy3¢16
4 days agoBuy93¢150
4 days agoBuy7¢150
4 days agoBuy93¢50
4 days agoBuy7¢50
4 days agoBuy93¢20
4 days agoBuy7¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.