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Updated 5 days ago

Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

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89 %

chance

▲ +4.5%1h▲ +6.5%24h
Yes 89¢No 12¢

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

18 outcomes

Total volume

$412.173

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$412.173

1m vol.

$412.173

Liquidity

$214.837

Bid / Ask

80¢ / 97¢

Spread 17¢

Last trade

83¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
80¢$80
79¢$193
77¢$20
66¢$142
5¢$11
4¢$13
2¢$5
1¢$23
Asks (sell)Size
83¢$172
84¢$162
97¢$21
98¢$46
99¢$26

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (24)

Buys 85%Sells 15%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell17¢1
5 days agoBuy17¢1
5 days agoBuy83¢19
5 days agoSell83¢19
5 days agoBuy74¢170
5 days agoSell77¢20
5 days agoBuy23¢20
5 days agoBuy23¢20
5 days agoSell73¢20
5 days agoBuy27¢20
5 days agoBuy27¢20
5 days agoBuy27¢50
5 days agoSell70¢20
5 days agoBuy70¢20
5 days agoBuy24¢142
5 days agoBuy75¢19
5 days agoBuy75¢20
5 days agoBuy75¢20
5 days agoBuy76¢23
5 days agoBuy76¢20
5 days agoSell24¢40
5 days agoBuy21¢40
5 days agoBuy79¢20
5 days agoBuy79¢20

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