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Updated 5 days ago

Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

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15 %

chance

▼ −4.5%24h
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Total volume

$3.8K

24h vol.

$3.3K

1w vol.

$3.8K

1m vol.

$3.8K

Liquidity

$3.5K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 16¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

16¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 95¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$19
2¢$52
1¢$70
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$30
99¢$78

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy13¢100
5 days agoBuy87¢100

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.