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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

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13 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

18 outcomes

Total volume

$306.468

Liquidity

$306.468

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 14¢

Spread 2¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$40
11¢$20
3¢$20
2¢$47
1¢$19
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$40
97¢$21
98¢$47
99¢$14

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