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Updated 5 days ago

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

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4 %

chance

▲ +0.8%1h▼ −1.0%24h
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$1.7K

1m vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$575.291

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 7¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$279
11¢$42
10¢$20
8¢$21
6¢$7
5¢$21
3¢$6
2¢$25
1¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$99
17¢$197
20¢$220
90¢$21
97¢$12
98¢$18
99¢$42

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (33)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoBuy86¢40
5 days agoSell86¢19
5 days agoBuy14¢20
5 days agoSell83¢1
5 days agoBuy83¢20
5 days agoSell83¢20
5 days agoBuy82¢100
5 days agoSell83¢60
5 days agoSell82¢20
5 days agoBuy19¢20
5 days agoBuy12¢20
5 days agoBuy88¢20
5 days agoBuy13¢21
5 days agoBuy87¢21
5 days agoBuy11¢268
5 days agoBuy88¢13
5 days agoBuy88¢21
5 days agoBuy88¢24
5 days agoBuy89¢20
5 days agoBuy89¢20
5 days agoBuy89¢20
5 days agoBuy89¢20
5 days agoBuy89¢50
5 days agoBuy89¢60
5 days agoBuy89¢20
5 days agoBuy12¢50
5 days agoBuy88¢42
5 days agoBuy88¢8
5 days agoBuy12¢22
5 days agoBuy88¢2
5 days agoBuy88¢20
5 days agoBuy12¢20
5 days agoBuy88¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.