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Updated 5 days ago
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
63 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
18 outcomes- Wild Horse Nine92 %
- The Debut89 %
- Club Kid63 %
- Obsession57 %
- Fjord40 %
- Behemoth!22 %
- Elsinore22 %
- Digger18 %
- The Drama15 %
- Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma13 %
- Josephine12 %
- The Invite4 %
- A Place in Hell4 %
- The Odyssey4 %
- Fatherland3 %
- Forgotten Island3 %
- The Black Ball1 %
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1 %
Total volume
$2K
24h vol.
$280
1w vol.
$2K
1m vol.
$2K
Liquidity
$344.087
Bid / Ask
57¢ / 69¢
Spread 12¢
Last trade
48¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 7¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (18)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 14 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 14 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 52¢ | 8 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 42¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 58¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 58¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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