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Updated 5 days ago
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
18 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
18 outcomes- Wild Horse Nine92 %
- The Debut89 %
- Club Kid63 %
- Obsession57 %
- Fjord40 %
- Behemoth!22 %
- Elsinore22 %
- Digger18 %
- The Drama15 %
- Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma13 %
- Josephine12 %
- The Invite4 %
- A Place in Hell4 %
- The Odyssey4 %
- Fatherland3 %
- Forgotten Island3 %
- The Black Ball1 %
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1 %
Total volume
$1K
24h vol.
$100.9
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$1K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (36)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 79¢ | 33 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 79¢ | 33 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 80 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 225 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 33 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 22 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 40 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 22¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 220 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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