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Updated 5 days ago
Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
12 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
18 outcomes- Wild Horse Nine92 %
- The Debut89 %
- Club Kid63 %
- Obsession57 %
- Fjord40 %
- Behemoth!22 %
- Elsinore22 %
- Digger18 %
- The Drama15 %
- Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma13 %
- Josephine12 %
- The Invite4 %
- A Place in Hell4 %
- The Odyssey4 %
- Fatherland3 %
- Forgotten Island3 %
- The Black Ball1 %
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1 %
Total volume
$250
24h vol.
$31
1w vol.
$250
1m vol.
$250
Liquidity
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 14¢
Spread 5¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Oct 14, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
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