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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?

Politics
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3 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▼ −1.2%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

24 outcomes

Total volume

$31.6K

24h vol.

$89.1

1w vol.

$164.119

1m vol.

$292.459

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jan 2, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$6
3¢$20
3¢$40
3¢$130
2¢$70
2¢$235
2¢$5,081
2¢$230
2¢$9
2¢$4,148
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$100
5¢$20
5¢$50
6¢$534
6¢$252
6¢$1,195
6¢$100
6¢$40
7¢$24
7¢$42

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 59%Sells 41%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy96¢1
1 mo. agoSell96¢1
1 mo. agoBuy96¢570
1 mo. agoSell96¢100
1 mo. agoSell96¢100
1 mo. agoBuy4¢120
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy4¢120
1 mo. agoBuy4¢100
1 mo. agoSell96¢10
1 mo. agoBuy95¢47
1 mo. agoSell95¢47
1 mo. agoBuy5¢55
1 mo. agoSell5¢55
1 mo. agoSell5¢57
1 mo. agoBuy5¢0
1 mo. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoSell95¢20
1 mo. agoSell95¢16
1 mo. agoSell5¢149
1 mo. agoSell95¢39
1 mo. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoSell95¢20
1 mo. agoSell95¢39
1 mo. agoSell95¢30
1 mo. agoSell94¢185
1 mo. agoBuy94¢39
1 mo. agoSell6¢51
1 mo. agoBuy94¢55
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoBuy95¢30
1 mo. agoSell95¢295
1 mo. agoBuy95¢295
1 mo. agoSell95¢24
1 mo. agoBuy95¢24
1 mo. agoSell95¢45
1 mo. agoBuy95¢35
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoBuy96¢166
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢126
1 mo. agoBuy5¢30
1 mo. agoSell95¢5
2 mo. agoSell6¢59
2 mo. agoBuy6¢59
3 mo. agoSell10¢25
3 mo. agoBuy10¢21
3 mo. agoSell90¢4
3 mo. agoSell10¢6
3 mo. agoSell90¢6

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.