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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?

Politics
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10 %

chance

▼ −1.5%24h▼ −7.5%1W
Yes 10¢No 91¢

Total volume

$7.9K

24h vol.

$174.48

1w vol.

$922.02

1m vol.

$4.1K

Liquidity

$10.8K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Nov 18, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$83
10¢$166
9¢$187
7¢$107
6¢$220
5¢$300
4¢$45
3¢$25
2¢$1,105
1¢$1,000
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$10
14¢$187
15¢$27
16¢$20
18¢$100
22¢$60
24¢$10
25¢$300
26¢$10
34¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 33%Sells 67%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢0
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoSell89¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell85¢39
1 mo. agoSell15¢39
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢19
1 mo. agoSell88¢1
1 mo. agoSell12¢40
1 mo. agoSell88¢10
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢10
1 mo. agoSell11¢11
1 mo. agoSell89¢11
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢20
1 mo. agoSell84¢6
1 mo. agoBuy84¢6
1 mo. agoBuy10¢11
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoSell89¢256
1 mo. agoSell11¢59
1 mo. agoBuy89¢77
1 mo. agoBuy89¢50
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢30
1 mo. agoSell9¢24
1 mo. agoBuy9¢24
1 mo. agoSell9¢21
1 mo. agoBuy9¢21
1 mo. agoSell9¢30
1 mo. agoBuy9¢30
1 mo. agoSell9¢15
1 mo. agoBuy9¢15
1 mo. agoSell8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoSell9¢61

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.