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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▼ −3.0%24h▲ +1.2%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$21.6K

24h vol.

$2.6K

1w vol.

$4.5K

1m vol.

$5K

Liquidity

$46.5K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 5¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 18, 2025

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$20
3¢$153
2¢$56
2¢$115
2¢$7
2¢$185
2¢$110
2¢$100
2¢$1,971
1¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$104
3¢$50
3¢$5
3¢$13
4¢$76
4¢$200
5¢$48
6¢$21
6¢$1,081
6¢$316

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell97¢1
1 mo. agoBuy97¢1
2 mo. agoBuy4¢36
2 mo. agoBuy95¢2
2 mo. agoBuy96¢21
2 mo. agoSell4¢7
2 mo. agoSell4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy96¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢59
2 mo. agoBuy96¢29
2 mo. agoSell4¢5
2 mo. agoSell3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy3¢55
2 mo. agoBuy98¢51
2 mo. agoBuy98¢4
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy2¢122
2 mo. agoBuy98¢41
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢15
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢45
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoSell98¢0
2 mo. agoBuy98¢0
2 mo. agoSell98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoSell2¢10
2 mo. agoSell99¢10
2 mo. agoBuy98¢10
2 mo. agoBuy2¢3
2 mo. agoSell98¢7
2 mo. agoSell96¢0
2 mo. agoBuy96¢0
2 mo. agoBuy4¢26
2 mo. agoSell4¢26
2 mo. agoSell99¢169
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy99¢10
2 mo. agoBuy99¢14
2 mo. agoBuy99¢50
2 mo. agoBuy99¢64

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.