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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?

Politics
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11 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −2.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Total volume

$34.2K

24h vol.

$626.085

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$2.1K

Liquidity

$13.2K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 12¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Dec 5, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
14¢$70
13¢$15
12¢$125
11¢$129
10¢$3,939
9¢$7
8¢$50
7¢$40
6¢$20
4¢$7
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$32
17¢$100
18¢$48
19¢$60
20¢$5
21¢$13
22¢$20
58¢$5
60¢$50
63¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 18%Sells 82%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell11¢23
1 mo. agoSell89¢3
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢66
1 mo. agoSell88¢66
1 mo. agoSell88¢47
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢27
1 mo. agoSell11¢40
1 mo. agoBuy11¢27
1 mo. agoSell89¢5
1 mo. agoBuy11¢8
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢15
1 mo. agoSell89¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoSell89¢20
1 mo. agoSell11¢20
1 mo. agoSell89¢15
1 mo. agoSell89¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢13
1 mo. agoBuy12¢13
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢30
1 mo. agoSell17¢30
1 mo. agoSell88¢308
1 mo. agoBuy86¢24
1 mo. agoBuy86¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢30
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢81
1 mo. agoSell12¢35
1 mo. agoSell12¢58
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoSell11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢45
1 mo. agoSell89¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢10
1 mo. agoSell88¢5
1 mo. agoSell88¢5
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoSell85¢167
1 mo. agoSell15¢40
1 mo. agoBuy85¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.