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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▲ +2.5%24h▼ −0.9%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

24 outcomes

Total volume

$10.4K

24h vol.

$250.005

1w vol.

$859.075

1m vol.

$859.075

Liquidity

$10.5K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 5¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$184
4¢$348
4¢$20
4¢$20
4¢$25
3¢$20
3¢$20
3¢$141
3¢$20
2¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$293
4¢$131
5¢$215
5¢$25
5¢$60
5¢$81
5¢$200
9¢$50
10¢$20
62¢$800

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell96¢10
1 mo. agoSell4¢10
1 mo. agoBuy96¢5
1 mo. agoSell96¢5
1 mo. agoSell96¢245
1 mo. agoBuy95¢16
1 mo. agoBuy95¢15
1 mo. agoSell5¢70
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoSell4¢49
1 mo. agoBuy97¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢40
1 mo. agoSell2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢49
1 mo. agoBuy3¢49
1 mo. agoSell3¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoSell96¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢80
1 mo. agoBuy5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy95¢240
1 mo. agoBuy5¢129
1 mo. agoBuy5¢11
1 mo. agoBuy5¢80
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢60
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy96¢5
2 mo. agoSell96¢5
2 mo. agoSell96¢11
2 mo. agoSell4¢11
3 mo. agoSell96¢54
3 mo. agoSell4¢19

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.