← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Politics

3 %

chance

▲ +0.3%24h▲ +0.3%1W

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$53.1K

24h vol.

$149.1

1w vol.

$159.282

1m vol.

$159.382

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Nov 18, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢

Bids (buy)Size

2¢$30

2¢$40

1¢$100

1¢$8

1¢$100

0¢$750

0¢$1,555

0¢$26,832

Asks (sell)Size

3¢$69

3¢$65

4¢$167

4¢$852

4¢$33

6¢$319

7¢$2,000

57¢$60

61¢$58

61¢$1,641

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
1 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	149
1 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	100
1 mo. ago	Buy	97¢	30
1 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	14
1 mo. ago	Buy	97¢	5
1 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	5
1 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	98¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	2¢	5
2 mo. ago	Sell	98¢	0
2 mo. ago	Sell	2¢	0
2 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	5
2 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	31
3 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	16
3 mo. ago	Buy	97¢	15
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	16
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	1
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	15
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	156
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	102
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	54
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	50
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	50
3 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	50
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	15
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	30
3 mo. ago	Buy	2¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	97¢	783
3 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	167
3 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	156
3 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	50
3 mo. ago	Buy	3¢	50
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	52
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	51
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	47
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	52
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	51
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	22
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	20
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	50
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	15
3 mo. ago	Buy	97¢	31
3 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	31
3 mo. ago	Buy	4¢	28
3 mo. ago	Buy	96¢	28
4 mo. ago	Sell	3¢	100
4 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	36
4 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	54
4 mo. ago	Sell	97¢	10

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