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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
5 %
chance
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
24 outcomes- Daniel Penny21 %
- Stefan Brodie16 %
- Donald Brodie15 %
- Roger Ver15 %
- Ryan Salame11 %
- Keonne Rodriguez11 %
- Matt Gaetz10 %
- Steve Bannon8 %
- Julian Assange6 %
- Joe Exotic6 %
- Roger Stone5 %
- Nicolas Maduro5 %
- Himself5 %
- Diddy5 %
- Elizabeth Holmes5 %
- Ghislaine Maxwell5 %
- Do Kwon5 %
- Eric Adams4 %
- Young Thug4 %
- Derek Chauvin4 %
- Andrew Tate4 %
- Sam Bankman-Fried4 %
- Martin Shkreli3 %
- Elon Musk3 %
Total volume
$11.5K
24h vol.
$187.39
1w vol.
$697.06
1m vol.
$7.3K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 7¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Nov 18, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 163 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 163 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 73 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.