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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▼ −0.7%1h▼ −2.6%24h▲ +1.6%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$11.5K

24h vol.

$187.39

1w vol.

$697.06

1m vol.

$7.3K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 7¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Nov 18, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
26¢$117
25¢$404
24¢$20
22¢$21
20¢$5
18¢$20
16¢$5
13¢$5
12¢$40
11¢$46
Asks (sell)Size
27¢$85
28¢$415
29¢$70
66¢$30
89¢$80
98¢$300
99¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 47%Sells 53%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell26¢36
1 mo. agoSell74¢10
1 mo. agoSell74¢26
1 mo. agoBuy74¢5
1 mo. agoSell74¢5
1 mo. agoSell73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy75¢5
1 mo. agoSell75¢5
1 mo. agoBuy75¢9
1 mo. agoSell75¢9
1 mo. agoSell73¢9
1 mo. agoBuy73¢9
1 mo. agoSell69¢8
1 mo. agoBuy69¢8
1 mo. agoSell77¢11
1 mo. agoSell23¢11
1 mo. agoSell77¢3
1 mo. agoSell23¢3
1 mo. agoBuy23¢21
1 mo. agoSell23¢21
1 mo. agoSell78¢163
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoSell22¢63
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoSell22¢20
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoSell21¢2
1 mo. agoSell79¢2
1 mo. agoSell22¢12
1 mo. agoSell78¢12
1 mo. agoBuy22¢22
1 mo. agoBuy78¢12
1 mo. agoBuy78¢10
1 mo. agoSell78¢30
1 mo. agoBuy78¢10
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢8
1 mo. agoBuy81¢8
1 mo. agoBuy84¢3
1 mo. agoBuy16¢3
1 mo. agoBuy77¢163
1 mo. agoBuy22¢73
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoSell77¢20
1 mo. agoSell77¢50
1 mo. agoSell73¢5
1 mo. agoSell27¢5
1 mo. agoSell75¢5

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.