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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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4 %

chance

▼ −1.8%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 4¢No 97¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$10.8K

24h vol.

$921.05

1w vol.

$1.3K

1m vol.

$5K

Liquidity

$16.5K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 5¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$44
9¢$150
8¢$67
7¢$367
6¢$1,204
5¢$658
4¢$5
3¢$138
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$632
13¢$253
14¢$30
52¢$17
53¢$50
56¢$327
57¢$30
62¢$800
63¢$1,730
68¢$2,500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy90¢6
1 mo. agoBuy10¢6
1 mo. agoSell89¢44
1 mo. agoBuy89¢44
1 mo. agoBuy10¢50
1 mo. agoBuy90¢44
1 mo. agoSell9¢6
1 mo. agoSell91¢79
1 mo. agoSell9¢79
1 mo. agoBuy92¢5
1 mo. agoBuy8¢5
2 mo. agoSell7¢40
2 mo. agoBuy7¢16
2 mo. agoSell93¢24
2 mo. agoSell7¢205
2 mo. agoSell93¢205
2 mo. agoSell8¢195
2 mo. agoBuy8¢130
2 mo. agoBuy8¢40
2 mo. agoBuy8¢20
2 mo. agoBuy8¢5
2 mo. agoBuy91¢405
2 mo. agoBuy9¢400
2 mo. agoSell91¢5
2 mo. agoSell91¢25
2 mo. agoBuy91¢5
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoBuy92¢5
2 mo. agoBuy8¢5
2 mo. agoBuy92¢10
2 mo. agoBuy8¢10
2 mo. agoBuy92¢22
2 mo. agoSell93¢2
2 mo. agoBuy8¢20
2 mo. agoBuy93¢5
2 mo. agoSell93¢5
2 mo. agoBuy93¢5
2 mo. agoSell93¢5
2 mo. agoBuy10¢100
2 mo. agoBuy90¢42
2 mo. agoSell10¢20
2 mo. agoSell10¢38
3 mo. agoSell10¢20
3 mo. agoBuy10¢20
3 mo. agoSell11¢60
3 mo. agoBuy10¢6
3 mo. agoBuy11¢20
3 mo. agoSell89¢34
3 mo. agoBuy88¢744
3 mo. agoBuy12¢103

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.