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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
4 %
chance
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$2K
24h vol.
$180
1w vol.
$280
1m vol.
$714.384
Liquidity
$11.9K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 18, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 370 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 150 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 44 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 18 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 177 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 87 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 65 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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