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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
7 %
chance
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$3.8K
24h vol.
$5
1w vol.
$5
1m vol.
$2.4K
Liquidity
$10.9K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 18, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 83 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 83 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 94 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 94 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 437 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 559 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 177 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 65 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 67 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 275 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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