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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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26 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −22.0%1W
Yes 26¢No 75¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$3.4K

24h vol.

$2.589

1w vol.

$791.568

1m vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$10.3K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 28¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
59¢$50
58¢$10
57¢$55
56¢$50
47¢$15
34¢$37
33¢$21
32¢$91
30¢$100
20¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
64¢$83
67¢$50
88¢$92
89¢$64
90¢$51
92¢$20
97¢$9
98¢$17
99¢$9

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy41¢24
1 mo. agoBuy59¢24
1 mo. agoBuy57¢10
1 mo. agoSell57¢10
1 mo. agoBuy64¢11
1 mo. agoSell64¢7
1 mo. agoSell63¢4
1 mo. agoBuy62¢48
1 mo. agoBuy38¢48
1 mo. agoSell37¢30
1 mo. agoSell63¢30
1 mo. agoBuy61¢65
1 mo. agoSell63¢6
1 mo. agoBuy38¢9
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoBuy60¢50
1 mo. agoBuy40¢50
1 mo. agoBuy56¢36
1 mo. agoBuy44¢36
1 mo. agoSell53¢20
1 mo. agoBuy53¢20
1 mo. agoBuy63¢32
1 mo. agoSell89¢12
1 mo. agoBuy53¢20
1 mo. agoBuy60¢50
1 mo. agoBuy40¢50
1 mo. agoBuy57¢40
1 mo. agoBuy42¢30
1 mo. agoBuy45¢10
2 mo. agoBuy59¢27
2 mo. agoBuy41¢27
2 mo. agoBuy37¢3
2 mo. agoBuy63¢3
2 mo. agoBuy36¢3
2 mo. agoBuy64¢3
2 mo. agoBuy36¢81
2 mo. agoBuy64¢81
2 mo. agoBuy67¢100
2 mo. agoSell67¢36
2 mo. agoSell67¢64
2 mo. agoSell33¢5
2 mo. agoSell67¢5
2 mo. agoSell66¢40
2 mo. agoBuy66¢40
2 mo. agoSell66¢20
2 mo. agoBuy66¢20
2 mo. agoSell66¢30
2 mo. agoBuy66¢30
2 mo. agoBuy67¢30

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.