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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.1K

24h vol.

$46.84

1w vol.

$513.84

1m vol.

$676.062

Liquidity

$11.3K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 7¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
9¢$87
8¢$168
7¢$20
6¢$20
5¢$6
4¢$3,625
3¢$7
2¢$181
1¢$229
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$149
11¢$228
12¢$210
53¢$5
54¢$24
56¢$16
59¢$30
60¢$50
62¢$40
63¢$1,730

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell9¢3
4 wk. agoBuy9¢3
1 mo. agoSell9¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢2
1 mo. agoBuy8¢2
1 mo. agoBuy91¢22
1 mo. agoBuy9¢2
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢8
1 mo. agoBuy9¢8
1 mo. agoSell9¢2
1 mo. agoBuy9¢2
1 mo. agoBuy91¢22
1 mo. agoBuy9¢2
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢35
2 mo. agoBuy9¢21
2 mo. agoBuy9¢14
2 mo. agoBuy91¢11
2 mo. agoBuy9¢6
2 mo. agoBuy9¢5
2 mo. agoSell9¢15
2 mo. agoBuy9¢15
2 mo. agoBuy90¢20
2 mo. agoBuy10¢20
2 mo. agoBuy90¢33
2 mo. agoBuy10¢3
2 mo. agoBuy10¢30
2 mo. agoBuy90¢11
2 mo. agoBuy10¢11
3 mo. agoSell10¢12
3 mo. agoBuy10¢12
3 mo. agoSell10¢12
3 mo. agoBuy10¢12
3 mo. agoSell10¢11
3 mo. agoBuy10¢11
3 mo. agoBuy90¢1
3 mo. agoBuy10¢1
4 mo. agoSell12¢11
4 mo. agoBuy12¢11
4 mo. agoSell12¢10
4 mo. agoBuy12¢10
4 mo. agoSell11¢10
4 mo. agoBuy11¢10
4 mo. agoSell3¢21
4 mo. agoBuy3¢11
4 mo. agoBuy4¢10
5 mo. agoSell5¢8
5 mo. agoBuy2¢3

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.