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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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8 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▼ −0.8%24h▼ −1.4%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.4K

24h vol.

$37.053

1w vol.

$272.988

1m vol.

$377.074

Liquidity

$12.3K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$80
7¢$170
7¢$15
6¢$20
6¢$20
5¢$20
5¢$5
5¢$40
4¢$45
4¢$40
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$30
10¢$150
10¢$185
11¢$200
12¢$21
62¢$21
62¢$18
62¢$17
63¢$50
63¢$40

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoSell91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoSell7¢36
1 mo. agoBuy7¢5
1 mo. agoBuy7¢21
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy92¢109
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢9
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoBuy10¢11
1 mo. agoSell10¢36
1 mo. agoBuy10¢36
1 mo. agoBuy90¢56
1 mo. agoBuy10¢36
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢40
2 mo. agoBuy7¢10
2 mo. agoBuy7¢10
2 mo. agoBuy10¢20
2 mo. agoBuy89¢20
2 mo. agoBuy11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy89¢20
2 mo. agoBuy11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢31
2 mo. agoSell6¢31
2 mo. agoBuy6¢40
2 mo. agoSell6¢5
2 mo. agoSell6¢35
2 mo. agoBuy5¢39
2 mo. agoSell5¢27
2 mo. agoSell5¢12
2 mo. agoSell4¢15
2 mo. agoBuy4¢15
2 mo. agoSell5¢1
2 mo. agoBuy5¢1
2 mo. agoSell5¢19
2 mo. agoBuy5¢19
2 mo. agoSell0¢4
2 mo. agoBuy0¢4
2 mo. agoSell2¢40
2 mo. agoBuy2¢4
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.