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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.6%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.6K

24h vol.

$90

1w vol.

$90

1m vol.

$185.04

Liquidity

$12.2K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$180
1¢$222
0¢$180
0¢$300
0¢$13,965
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$60
3¢$20
3¢$5
7¢$10
7¢$21
7¢$50
8¢$39
10¢$136
34¢$155
60¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢2
2 mo. agoSell0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢35
2 mo. agoSell1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢0
2 mo. agoBuy1¢33
2 mo. agoBuy3¢7
2 mo. agoSell3¢40
2 mo. agoBuy3¢40
2 mo. agoBuy93¢260
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢50
2 mo. agoBuy7¢40
2 mo. agoBuy7¢40
2 mo. agoBuy7¢40
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy8¢4
2 mo. agoBuy8¢6
2 mo. agoSell92¢11
2 mo. agoSell8¢6
2 mo. agoSell8¢6
2 mo. agoSell8¢1
2 mo. agoBuy8¢1
2 mo. agoSell92¢16
2 mo. agoSell8¢9
2 mo. agoBuy92¢7
2 mo. agoBuy92¢16
2 mo. agoBuy8¢16
2 mo. agoBuy8¢13
2 mo. agoBuy92¢13
2 mo. agoSell92¢16
2 mo. agoSell8¢2
2 mo. agoSell8¢14
2 mo. agoBuy92¢16
2 mo. agoBuy8¢16
2 mo. agoBuy92¢20
2 mo. agoBuy8¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy90¢182
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy10¢6
2 mo. agoBuy10¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.