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Updated 3 mo. ago
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3 %
chance
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$7.8K
24h vol.
$5
1w vol.
$913.13
1m vol.
$3.8K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 18, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 29 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 29 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 29 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 29 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 41 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 24 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 37 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 16 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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