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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
2 %
chance
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$2.3K
24h vol.
$500
1w vol.
$789.58
1m vol.
$866.148
Liquidity
$11.5K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 18, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 44 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 956 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 132 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 660 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 11 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 11 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 7 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 7 |
| 5 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 7 |
| 5 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 7 |
| 5 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 60 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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