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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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25 %

chance

▲ +2.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −13.5%1W
Yes 25¢No 75¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$2.4K

24h vol.

$6.282

1w vol.

$446.031

1m vol.

$1.3K

Liquidity

$246.502

Bid / Ask

22¢ / 28¢

Spread 6¢

Last trade

22¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
43¢$50
28¢$7
27¢$30
17¢$41
16¢$5
14¢$8
11¢$20
6¢$15
5¢$30
4¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$79
47¢$60
54¢$33
55¢$45
78¢$40
79¢$55
80¢$111
90¢$51
94¢$10
95¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy40¢55
1 mo. agoSell40¢5
1 mo. agoBuy60¢50
1 mo. agoBuy55¢55
1 mo. agoBuy45¢50
1 mo. agoBuy45¢5
1 mo. agoBuy49¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢10
1 mo. agoSell46¢11
1 mo. agoSell54¢10
1 mo. agoSell46¢10
1 mo. agoBuy55¢55
1 mo. agoSell55¢55
1 mo. agoSell46¢27
1 mo. agoBuy46¢27
1 mo. agoBuy49¢2
1 mo. agoSell49¢2
2 mo. agoBuy46¢5
2 mo. agoSell46¢5
2 mo. agoBuy49¢10
2 mo. agoSell49¢10
2 mo. agoSell44¢1
2 mo. agoBuy44¢1
2 mo. agoSell44¢10
2 mo. agoBuy44¢3
2 mo. agoSell56¢7
2 mo. agoBuy60¢6
2 mo. agoBuy40¢6
2 mo. agoBuy55¢19
2 mo. agoBuy45¢10
2 mo. agoSell55¢9
2 mo. agoSell53¢46
2 mo. agoBuy50¢4
2 mo. agoBuy52¢7
2 mo. agoBuy53¢35
2 mo. agoSell56¢61
2 mo. agoBuy52¢1
2 mo. agoBuy54¢20
2 mo. agoBuy56¢20
2 mo. agoBuy58¢20
2 mo. agoBuy73¢7
2 mo. agoBuy27¢7
2 mo. agoBuy79¢13
2 mo. agoSell79¢10
2 mo. agoSell79¢3
2 mo. agoSell21¢5
2 mo. agoSell79¢5
2 mo. agoBuy52¢5
2 mo. agoBuy48¢5
2 mo. agoBuy74¢54

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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