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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Politics
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54 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.5%24h▲ +12.5%1W
Yes 54¢No 46¢

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$2.3K

24h vol.

$3.031

1w vol.

$172.199

1m vol.

$645.678

Liquidity

$390.332

Bid / Ask

49¢ / 59¢

Spread 10¢

Last trade

49¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 10¢
Bids (buy)Size
56¢$105
52¢$1,994
50¢$50
46¢$15
45¢$50
40¢$28
39¢$156
26¢$50
25¢$100
22¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
66¢$55
75¢$44
76¢$29
79¢$274
81¢$20
82¢$20
87¢$20
97¢$20
98¢$120

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 74%Sells 26%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy37¢5
1 mo. agoSell37¢5
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢273
1 mo. agoSell63¢20
1 mo. agoBuy38¢50
1 mo. agoBuy42¢203
1 mo. agoBuy48¢21
1 mo. agoBuy52¢21
1 mo. agoBuy58¢47
1 mo. agoBuy42¢47
1 mo. agoBuy47¢10
1 mo. agoSell47¢10
1 mo. agoSell41¢7
1 mo. agoBuy41¢7
1 mo. agoSell46¢0
1 mo. agoSell54¢0
1 mo. agoBuy54¢20
1 mo. agoSell54¢20
1 mo. agoBuy53¢40
1 mo. agoBuy47¢20
1 mo. agoBuy47¢20
1 mo. agoSell46¢12
1 mo. agoSell54¢7
1 mo. agoBuy47¢5
1 mo. agoSell46¢20
1 mo. agoSell54¢15
1 mo. agoSell53¢5
1 mo. agoBuy50¢8
1 mo. agoSell50¢8
1 mo. agoBuy54¢20
1 mo. agoBuy46¢20
1 mo. agoSell48¢31
1 mo. agoBuy48¢31
1 mo. agoSell48¢32
1 mo. agoBuy48¢32
1 mo. agoBuy54¢9
1 mo. agoSell54¢9
1 mo. agoSell57¢20
1 mo. agoBuy57¢20
1 mo. agoSell58¢143
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoBuy58¢63
1 mo. agoBuy58¢20
1 mo. agoSell59¢9
1 mo. agoBuy59¢9
1 mo. agoSell65¢20

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