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Updated 1 wk. ago

Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?

Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?

Culture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 10 buys, 40 sells; the largest was $253 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (526 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Dec 31, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Next James Bond actor?

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$35.5K

24h vol.

$2.5K

Liquidity

$19.1K

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$10.6K

1m vol.

$35.5K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

May 18, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$18
1¢$120
1¢$332
0¢$520
0¢$4,760
0¢$6,716
0¢$25,819
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$50
3¢$809
3¢$1,306
3¢$70
3¢$15
5¢$30
5¢$108
5¢$10
5¢$2,000
6¢$60

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢0
1 wk. agoBuy4¢24
1 wk. agoBuy1¢20
1 wk. agoBuy1¢20
2 wk. agoBuy4¢440
2 wk. agoBuy1¢140
2 wk. agoSell0¢20
2 wk. agoSell0¢20
2 wk. agoBuy0¢20
2 wk. agoBuy0¢360
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,002
2 wk. agoSell0¢5
2 wk. agoSell0¢12
2 wk. agoSell0¢254
2 wk. agoSell0¢31
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢60
2 wk. agoSell0¢12
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢17
2 wk. agoSell0¢225
2 wk. agoSell0¢102
2 wk. agoSell1¢25
2 wk. agoSell1¢5
2 wk. agoBuy1¢1,302
2 wk. agoBuy0¢451
2 wk. agoBuy0¢12,875
2 wk. agoSell0¢80
2 wk. agoSell0¢20
2 wk. agoSell0¢815
2 wk. agoSell0¢305
2 wk. agoSell0¢44
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,163
2 wk. agoSell0¢372
2 wk. agoSell0¢665
2 wk. agoSell0¢61
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢20
2 wk. agoSell0¢64
2 wk. agoSell0¢32
2 wk. agoSell0¢61
2 wk. agoSell0¢56
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢45
2 wk. agoSell0¢10
2 wk. agoSell0¢10
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢14
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. Only a person officially announced to play James Bond in a theatrical/feature film production will count toward resolution. Casting for other formats, including video games, voice or motion-capture roles in games, television, advertisements, or spin-off media, will not not qualify. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Next James Bond actor?
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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