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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?
7 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$2.2K
24h vol.
$193.01
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$1.4K
Liquidity
$443.59
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 10¢
Spread 6¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 43¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 32 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 12 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 20 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 32 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 32 |
| 4 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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