Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

9 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −1.5%24h▲ +3.0%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

19 outcomes

Total volume

$2.6K

24h vol.

$90

1w vol.

$671.804

1m vol.

$2K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 11¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$12
5¢$61
4¢$25
3¢$367
2¢$551
1¢$1,419
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$68
8¢$14
9¢$21
88¢$8
91¢$6
92¢$13
96¢$25
97¢$36
98¢$50
99¢$115

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy7¢30
4 wk. agoSell7¢2
4 wk. agoSell7¢28
1 mo. agoSell6¢8
1 mo. agoBuy6¢8
1 mo. agoSell92¢5
1 mo. agoBuy92¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoSell6¢5
1 mo. agoSell6¢10
1 mo. agoSell94¢12
1 mo. agoSell6¢12
1 mo. agoSell95¢58
1 mo. agoSell5¢19
1 mo. agoSell5¢39
1 mo. agoSell95¢33
1 mo. agoSell5¢33
1 mo. agoSell95¢2
1 mo. agoSell5¢2
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢10
1 mo. agoBuy4¢10
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoSell7¢66
1 mo. agoBuy4¢10
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy8¢30
1 mo. agoBuy9¢21
2 mo. agoBuy85¢28
2 mo. agoBuy15¢8
2 mo. agoBuy15¢20
2 mo. agoSell90¢20
2 mo. agoSell10¢20
2 mo. agoBuy89¢66
2 mo. agoBuy11¢66
2 mo. agoBuy88¢19
2 mo. agoBuy12¢19
2 mo. agoBuy87¢116
2 mo. agoBuy13¢114
2 mo. agoSell87¢2
2 mo. agoBuy87¢23
2 mo. agoSell87¢23
2 mo. agoBuy86¢19
2 mo. agoBuy14¢19
3 mo. agoBuy17¢13
3 mo. agoBuy83¢0
3 mo. agoBuy83¢12

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.