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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026?
8 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$2.8K
24h vol.
$279.91
1w vol.
$1.6K
1m vol.
$2.1K
Liquidity
$264.491
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 9¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 26 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 39 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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