Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −1.3%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

19 outcomes

Total volume

$530.466

24h vol.

$1.022

1w vol.

$1.022

1m vol.

$156.371

Liquidity

$4.3K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$40
5¢$32
4¢$50
3¢$309
2¢$547
1¢$1,390
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$40
11¢$20
13¢$20
18¢$60
19¢$40
21¢$10
88¢$8
91¢$6
92¢$13
95¢$27

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (35)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell9¢40
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢95
1 mo. agoBuy11¢55
1 mo. agoBuy11¢40
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢2
1 mo. agoSell19¢2
1 mo. agoSell81¢1
1 mo. agoSell19¢1
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy82¢21
1 mo. agoBuy18¢21
1 mo. agoSell19¢40
1 mo. agoBuy19¢40
1 mo. agoBuy81¢22
1 mo. agoBuy19¢22
1 mo. agoBuy80¢140
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢40
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
4 mo. agoBuy19¢20
4 mo. agoBuy81¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.