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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026?

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8 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 8¢No 93¢

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

19 outcomes

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$19.545

1w vol.

$59.055

1m vol.

$264.455

Liquidity

$2.1K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 9¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$318
4¢$60
3¢$230
2¢$528
1¢$1,392
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$81
11¢$60
12¢$70
17¢$22
18¢$30
27¢$10
88¢$8
91¢$6
92¢$13
95¢$15

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy90¢61
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢21
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy89¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy83¢22
1 mo. agoBuy17¢22
1 mo. agoSell82¢1
1 mo. agoBuy82¢1
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢21
1 mo. agoBuy19¢9
1 mo. agoBuy19¢12
1 mo. agoBuy81¢48
1 mo. agoBuy19¢8
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢11
1 mo. agoSell20¢11
2 mo. agoBuy10¢55
2 mo. agoBuy90¢50
2 mo. agoBuy90¢5
2 mo. agoBuy70¢271
2 mo. agoSell73¢38
2 mo. agoSell71¢17
2 mo. agoBuy31¢54
2 mo. agoBuy31¢50
2 mo. agoSell69¢113
2 mo. agoBuy62¢150
2 mo. agoBuy38¢50
2 mo. agoBuy38¢50
2 mo. agoBuy38¢50
2 mo. agoBuy51¢16
2 mo. agoSell51¢16
3 mo. agoSell49¢4
3 mo. agoSell51¢4
4 mo. agoSell51¢7
4 mo. agoBuy51¢7
4 mo. agoSell51¢13
4 mo. agoBuy51¢13
4 mo. agoSell51¢20
4 mo. agoBuy51¢13

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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